England booked their place in Russia on Thursday with an unconvincing 1-0 win over a well-organised Slovenia side at Wembley. It wasn’t exactly the most spectacular way to seal World Cup qualification and certainly much improvement is needed if the Three Lions are to enjoy any real success next summer. They shouldn’t have any problem seeing off Lithuania here though and we might see a bit more entertainment in this one.
The task of breaking down this Lithuanian defence will certainly be considerably easier. Whereas Slovenia had only let in 4 group goals prior to Thursday’s game, Lithuania have let in 19 at an average of 2.11 per game. They are a poor side in truth and had lost 6 straight internationals before scraping a 1-1 draw in Malta last week. 5 of those 6 defeats were in matches featuring over 2.5 goals while 4 of them saw them suffer defeat by margins of 3-0 or greater.
England struggled to create many openings until the latter stages last time out but with Dele Alli back, there should be more life to their play here. The pressure is off to some extent and that might allow England to be more adventurous and play with a bit more freedom.
Predictably it was Harry Kane who broke the deadlock for England last time out and he’s now scored an incredible 14 goals in his last 9 appearances for club and country. He has rapidly risen to be one of the top strikers in world football and against a team as poor as Lithuania, backing Kane to score anytime looks a solid bet.
Despite coming up against many defensively-minded teams and putting in many sub-par showings, England are still the top scorers in this group and backing England to Win & Over 2.5 Goals looks good.
Meanwhile going for England -1.5 Asian Handicap at 2.190 looks a decent shout given Lithuania have lost 5 of their last 7 internationals by at least a 2 goal margin. The recent head-to-head also backs that up.
PREDICTION; ENGLAND TO WIN AND OVER 2.5 GOALS
HARRY KANE TO SCORE