Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta predictions for this Tuesday’s Elite Club Friendly. Dortmund are in Austria to face an Atalanta side unbeaten since mid-March. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions!
Shortly after being appointed Atalanta coach in June 2016, things weren’t looking too good for Gian Piero Gasperini. Atalanta suffered 4 defeats from their opening 5 matches in the Serie A last season, and Gasperini was on the verge of dismissal. The Italian didn’t give up though. He managed to turn help them find an amazing run of form that saw them lose just 4 of their last 33 matches (W21 D9 L4). Atalanta secured an impressive 4th-placed finish with 72 points, thus celebrating their return to Europe after 26 years. The Italian’s pre-season began as well as their competitive season ended – three wins and 19 goals scored should make them tricky opponents for Borussia Dortmund.
Borussia Dortmund’s pre-season has had it’s highs and lows, but the BVB will no doubt be content with the development made under new-boss Peter Bosz. The Dutchman’s ideology aligns well with the “Dortmund-style” of play and the BVB are making important strides in key areas of the Bosz’s footballing philosophy. With most of the transfer business already in the books, and last season’s top scorer, Pierre Emerick Aubameyang, looking set to stay at the club, Dortmund now just need to refine a few key areas on the pitch.
Dortmund are huge favourites here against the in-form Italians, but given the uncertainty of pre-season friendlies, odds of 4/7 on them seems too short to back. However, our free betting tips find “over 2.5 goals” at 3/5 to be a safe bet on Tuesday for the following reasons: though Dortmund failed to score against Espanyol in their last club friendly, the BVB dominated the match and the expression “lightning doesn’t strike the same place twice” could be applied here. Borussia Dortmund are favourites among neutral fans for a reason – their an exciting team to watch. Dortmund matches tend to have tonnes of end-to-end action and plenty of goals, and this doesn’t just apply to competitive fixtures. Six of Dortmund’s last seven outings (86%), five of which have been club friendlies, have seen over 2.5 goals scored. Meanwhile, Atlanta themselves have had some big scorelines in recent weeks and over 2.5 goals have been scored in 6 of Atalanta’s last 7 club friendlies.
Regarding a correct score prediction, Dortmund’s infrequency in keeping a clean sheet, both competitively last season and in their pre-season so far, means a goal from Atalanta shouldn’t be out of the question here, especially given their form. Dortmund do concede frequently, but in classic fashion the BVB have outscored their opponents more often than not – Dortmund have scored two or more goals in six of their last seven. As such, Dortmund to win 3-1 at 11/1 seems too much value to pass for Tuesday.
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 6 of Borussia Dortmund’s last 7 outings (1 Bundesliga, 1 DFB Pokal, and 5 club friendlies). Over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 of Atalanta’s last 7 club friendlies.